Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.939579 2.210834 2.508617 2.860145 3.264258 3.714841 4.256118
2025-10-19 1.563782 1.922491 2.348686 2.893859 3.574843 4.400175 5.480539
2025-10-26 1.306474 1.711033 2.224713 2.928054 3.871188 5.099369 6.831755
2025-11-02 1.077095 1.488432 2.041113 2.843366 3.987147 5.572722 7.960797
2025-11-09 0.885684 1.281791 1.840638 2.694061 3.977772 5.857919 8.859062
2025-11-16 0.771406 1.164016 1.742992 2.669022 4.132075 6.386302 10.183916
2025-11-23 0.673341 1.054714 1.639890 2.615702 4.227561 6.828376 11.431787
2025-11-30 0.631639 1.025449 1.653184 2.742967 4.622459 7.794584 13.687740
2025-12-07 0.584788 0.980885 1.634647 2.812354 4.925926 8.644837 15.872546
2025-12-14 0.529556 0.914885 1.571299 2.794295 5.070512 9.231831 17.663328
2025-12-21 0.469136 0.832442 1.469310 2.692787 5.046793 9.503811 18.887284
2025-12-28 0.447975 0.817076 1.483507 2.805052 5.437089 10.606184 21.935126
2026-01-04 0.429561 0.805691 1.505539 2.939055 5.896957 11.928798 25.709497
2026-01-11 0.403331 0.776513 1.490702 2.998841 6.216387 13.015767 29.176626
2026-01-18 0.378498 0.747123 1.471863 3.047741 6.519808 14.114506 32.873146
2026-01-25 0.342914 0.692186 1.395683 2.966205 6.528538 14.568006 35.132161
2026-02-01 0.304741 0.627734 1.292754 2.813452 6.355644 14.581983 36.312730
2026-02-08 0.282300 0.593871 1.250183 2.788989 6.474265 15.293778 39.394340
2026-02-15 0.259611 0.557050 1.197209 2.734028 6.512606 15.817070 42.077863
2026-02-22 0.253767 0.556508 1.223715 2.867901 7.030172 17.610157 48.569275
2026-03-01 0.243657 0.545271 1.224844 2.940907 7.405542 19.097919 54.498530
2026-03-08 0.228068 0.519832 1.190504 2.922111 7.540852 19.971385 58.802802
2026-03-15 0.208299 0.482635 1.124670 2.815756 7.428849 20.154082 61.049884